Politics

Telangana Elections 2023: What All the Surveys Are Predicting About Results!

7 months ago
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surveys telangana

Many surveys are surfacing amid the Telangana assembly elections, creating high curiosity among the masses about the poll results. With only one day left until the polling in Telangana, there are huge speculations, predictions, and analyses. Compared to the previous elections in Telangana, the state is currently witnessing a tough fight, leaving even analysts, psephologists confused in catching the pulse of Telangana.

As the elections approach, the majority of surveys predict a landslide victory for the Congress party in Telangana. However, looking at the political scenario in Telangana, 3 months back, the majority believes that BRS is going to win easily. The question arises, are these survey predictions of a Congress victory a reality, or is it mere propaganda as BRS alleges? The truth will unfold on results day.

Janam Sakshi Survey

‘Janam Sakshi’ Survey has released its survey results, predicting that the Congress will come into power, securing 66-77 seats, while BRS is expected to fall to 26-37 seats. According to the poll predictions, the BJP is projected to secure 4-9 seats, MIM 6-7 seats, BSP 0-1, and CPI 0-1 seats. For this survey, they collected 2,79,654 samples across 119 assembly segments. However, BRS has alleged that the Janam Sakshi Survey is biased towards Congress, citing a delayed release of the survey report compared to previous election reports.

Teenmar Mallanna Survey

Teenmar Mallanna, an independent journalist who recently joined the Congress, revealed their survey report to Zee media. He stated that they conducted surveys in 83 constituencies out of 119, predicting that Congress would win 49 seats, BRS would be limited to 29 seats, and BJP would have an impact in 4 seats. The survey covered constituencies in Telangana state, excluding GHMC. Mallanna asserted that there is significant anti-incumbency against the KCR government among the public.

South-First Survey

The South-First survey predicts that Congress is emerging as the single largest party, securing 57-62 seats, while BRS is estimated to win 41-46 seats. The survey reveals that, although Congress has a chance to secure a majority, a majority of the public still prefers K Chandrasekhar Rao as Chief Minister. According to the survey, 40% of respondents expressed their preference for KCR as CM, while 22% preferred Revanth Reddy, followed by CLP leader Bhatti Vikramarka at 11%. 9% of respondents chose BJP MP Bandi Sanjay as their CM choice. Interestingly, the survey reveals that only 3% of the public prefer IT minister KTR as their CM choice.

Newstap Survey

The media organization ‘Newstap’ has recently released a survey report predicting the BRS party as the single largest party with 65-76 seats, followed by Congress with 32-41 seats, AIMIM with 5-7 seats, and BJP with 3-4 seats. For this survey, they collected 119,000 samples across Telangana from November 16th to November 21st.

CSDS Survey

The Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) survey predicts that BRS will retain power for a third term with 83 seats. The runner-up is the Congress with 27 seats, followed by the BJP with 2 seats, and the MIM with 7 seats. CSDS Director Sanjay Kumar mentioned that in the last elections, the vote gap between BRS and the Congress was 18%. Despite the momentum gained by the Congress, it does not seem to have enough strength to surpass BRS in the November 30 elections, he added.

Naganna Survey

The Naganna survey predicts that BRS will secure 60-68 seats, followed by Congress with 33-40 seats, BJP with 1-4 seats, and AIMIM with 5-7 seats. According to the report, BRS is expected to secure 45.7% of the vote share, Congress 36.9%, BJP 13.26%, and others 4.03%.

Telangana Lok Poll Mega Survey

The Telangana Lok Poll Survey has forecasted the Congress party coming into power with 72-74 seats, while the BRS is expected to secure 33-35 seats. Additionally, the survey predicts 5-7 seats for AIMIM and 2-4 seats for BJP. This comprehensive survey was conducted from November 22nd to November 27th, encompassing a sample size of 12,000 individuals across all 119 constituencies, with 100 samples collected from each constituency. Some critics among the netizens have raised concerns about the methodology, arguing that determining winning seats based on just 100 samples per constituency may not provide an accurate representation.

ABP-C Voter Survey

The ABP-C Voter survey unveiled its predictions on October 9th, anticipating the Congress party to secure 48-68 seats out of the total 119 seats. Following closely, BRS is projected to attain 43-55 seats, while BJP is expected to secure 5-11 seats. The survey further estimates a 10.5% increase in the Congress party’s vote share compared to the 2018 assembly elections, accompanied by a 9.4% decrease in BRS vote share and a 9.3% increase in BJP’s vote share.

Also Read: Revanth Reddy Confident Of Winning 85 Seats For Congress

Overall, mixed surveys have emerged regarding the Telangana elections, with the majority anticipating the main contest to be between BRS and Congress. Some fake surveys have also surfaced this time, under the names of NDTV Poll of Polls and Rajneeti. Later, these organizations dismissed those surveys, stating that they were completely bogus. However, Telangana voters are gearing up to cast their votes, with only a few hours left in the electoral process. Let’s see how Telangana delivers its verdict.

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